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Ben Burns |
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| Off a PERFECT 4-0 Saturday, Ben is 10-2 the L3 days. His soccer win brought him to 47-20 YTD on the pitch. Of course, its his longterm records with big plays which separates him from the crowd! |
| YESTERDAY'S PLAYS | ||
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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MLB | Jun 19, 2021 Rays vs Mariners |
OVER 8 +100 |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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I'm playing on Seattle/Tampa OVER the total. This is a relatively low O/U number. I believe it'll prove to be too low. Gilbert pitched well last time out. However, he's still got a poor 6.39 ERA in three home starts. Fleming went seven innings in his last "start." However, he also gave up 10 hits and five runs. (He did pitch well last time out, coming in after an "opener.") He's got a 4.63 ERA on the road. Each of Fleming's last two starts have finished above the total. Likewise, Gilbert has seen his last three starts all finish above the number. Look for the bats to come alive. |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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Soccer | Jun 19, 2021 Germany vs Portugal |
Germany -0¼ -101 at pinnacle |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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I'm playing on GERMANY. (2-way line. Draw = Push) Portugal may be the defending champs but I see a desperate German team taking this one. While Portugal won five years ago, no other team has won as many titles as Germany. The Germans have won this championship three times. They've also won the World Cup four times, most recently in 2014. Indeed, this team knows how to win when it needs to. Off a loss against France, the Germans certainly do need this one. While I draw is a possibility, I see a victory being more likely. Did you know that Ronaldo has never scored against Neuer when playing for Portugal? In need of a huge game, look for Neuer, Muller and co. to rise to the occasion, once again. |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NBA | Jun 19, 2021 Bucks vs Nets |
OVER 215 -105 |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Top Premium | ||
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I'm playing on the OVER in Game 7 of the Nets/Bucks game. While the Nets may be banged-up, they can still score. Likewise, for the Bucks. This one's like a heavyweight title fight and I expect both teams to keep punching (scoring) right up until the final buzzer. Counting Game 5 as a push (results would have varied) the OVER is 6-1-1 the past eight, when the Nets were tied in a playoff series. Note that Game 5 "push" had a final scores of 222. So, it would have finished comfortably above tonight's total. In fact, consider that the O/U line was 244.5 when these teams first met in May and 239.5 at the beginning of the series. That's a major and significant difference from tonight. With both teams scoring well over 100, look for this one to find its way above the low number, the OVER improving to 8-4-1 when the Nets were off a double-digit loss. |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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MLB | Jun 19, 2021 Blue Jays vs Orioles |
Blue Jays -163 at linepros |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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I'm playing on TORONTO. The Jays were upset yesterday. Desperate for a victory, I expect them to bounce right back this afternoon. Manoah has made three "road" starts and he's got a dominant 1.06 ERA and 0.882 WHIP to show for it. On the other hand, Kremer is 0-3 with a 8.41 ERA (1.722 WHIP) in five home starts. While the Jays tend to thrive in the afternoon, the O's do not. Toronto is 15-9 in day games, Baltimore is 9-22. Enough's enough, the Jays stop the bleeding and move to 14-6 their last 20, when listed as a road favorite in the -125 to -175 range. |
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| PICKS IN PROGRESS | ||
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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MLB | Jun 20, 2021 Marlins vs Cubs |
Cubs -142 at BetCris |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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I'm playing on CHICAGO. After getting hammered in b2b games, I expect the Cubs to bounce back this afternoon. While Miami is 9-14 in day games, Chicago is 19-14. The Cubs benefit by the fact that the Marlins are giving Rogers an extra day of rest, as they get to face Zach Thompson instead. He's only got eight big league innings under his belt. The Cubs are 12-6 their last 18 after allowing 10 or more runs, 4-1 their last five in that situation. They're also 9-3 their last 12, when listed as home favorites in the -125 to -175 range. Enough's enough. Its payback time. Cubs win! |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NBA | Jun 20, 2021 Clippers vs Suns |
Suns -4 -101 at pinnacle |
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| Play Type: Premium | ||
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I'm playing on PHOENIX. Give the Clippers a ton of credit for coming back (twice) and getting this far. The first game of this series is going to be tough though. That's b2b times they've been pushed to the brink. Since 5/28, they've played 11 hard-fought emotional games. Over the same span, the Suns have played seven games. While its possible, Phoenix has a bit of early rust (I don't expect that to be the case) from a longer layoff, ultimately, the time off and fewer games played will benefit the Suns today. I even like the fact that its an afternoon game - just that much less time since LA's emotional win on Friday night. It appears likely that Paul won't be able to go, as of this writing. That's a blow, of course. However, Phoenix still has more than enough to take care of the Kawhi-less Clippers. The Suns have steamrolled the competition thus far. While I do expect them to receive a tougher test from the Clippers, I don't expect it to come today. The Suns are 39-24-2 ATS as favorites. Expect them to improve on those stats this afternoon. |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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MLB | Jun 20, 2021 Blue Jays vs Orioles |
Blue Jays -199 at pinnacle |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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I'm playing on TORONTO. Yesterday's comeback win was exactly what the Jays needed. Momentum on their side and pitching matchup in their favor, I expect them to follow it up with another victory this afternoon. Ryu has faced a number or tough teams lately. Since 4/13, he's faced the Yankees twice, the Red Sox twice and Rays twice. Life in the AL East. He's also had to contend with teams like Chicago, Houston, Oakland, Cleveland and Atlanta. That's 11 straight games against teams currently above .500. Each of these teams, with the exception of the Yankees who are third, are top 1 or 2 in their divisions. Finally, Ryu steps down in class to face a sub-500 opponent, his first game against Baltimore of 2021. Despite the tough schedule, Ryu still has a rock solid 3.41 ERA. He's 5-4 through 13 starts, posting an 1.131 WHIP while averaging nearly six innings per start. On the other hand, Harvey is 3-8 with a 7.76 ERA. Over his last three starts, his ERA climbs to 12.54 to go along with a 2.144 WHIP. Jays roll. |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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Soccer | Jun 20, 2021 Turkey vs Switzerland |
Switzerland -150 at Mirage |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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I'm playing on Switzerland. The Swiss have only picked up a point so far. So, they absolutely need three here. Turkey also needs three points. However, the Turks know that might not even be enough. Either way, the young Turkish side is going to be outclassed. Switzerland (arguably) outplayed Wales but had to settle for the draw. Turkey got hammered 2-0. The Turks lack firepower and have are vulnerable on defense. They rank #29 in the world compared to Switzerland's #13. I say a desperate Swiss side rises to the occasion with an important win. |
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SERVICE BIO |
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Age: 45 Background In "Outliers," Malcolm Gladwell asks the question: "What makes high achievers different?" Gladwell suggests that those at the top of their field have a number of similarities - that their upbringing (culture, family, what generation they came from, experiences) had much to do with their success. As a professional sports handicapper, Ben Burns is widely recognized as being "at the top of his field." A look at Ben's upbringing shows that he fits Gladwell's model to a tee. Exposed to the world of point spreads early and often as a child, Burns reached adulthood as the Internet was first beginning to explode, just as the first offshore sportsbooks were springing up. By that time he'd already spent thousands of hours learning and studying stats. From an early age it became apparent to family and friends that Ben wasn't a "typical" fan. At age 11, he was mentioned in a major newspaper (Toronto Star) for correctly predicting a high profile trade before the Major League Baseball trading deadline. (Winner of the contest got tickets to the All Star game.) Ben's father and uncles were always involved in a weekly NFL (ATS) pool. Some of Ben's earliest memories included that pool and his fascination with it. As soon as he was allowed to play, Ben demonstrated an uncanny ability to surprise the adults. Around this time, one of his uncles moved his casino business to the Caribbean. This was the environment which he came from. The caption underneath Ben's high-school graduation photo references Ben's love for betting on football. That's because he was famous throughout his school for annually winning the local football contest, along with the $1700 per year which was awarded to the champ. Coming of age right as the first sports books were coming online, Ben was fortunate to enjoy some success with his some of his early online sports betting endeavors. He did so well that the first shop he ever played at ended up refusing to take his hockey bets. Also, in the very early days of the Internet, Ben won an NBA playoff contest, put on by a company which was called NSS.net. The contest victory awarded him a trip for two to Las Vegas, $1000 cash, a limo at his disposal, free shows, hotel and live sports odds for a year. Not a bad prize for a kid in his early 20s. However, the bigger prize was that Ben was exposed to the world of "professional sports handicapping." Inspired by his personal success and encouraged by his peers, Ben first made his picks available to the public in 1998. Achievements in Handicapping/Sports Top Ranked NFL Handicapper From the years of 1998-2007, Ben's selections were independently documented at one of the Internet's earliest and most respected sports monitors, Big Guy Sports. During that time, Ben earned literally dozens of documented Top 3 finishes in football, basketball, baseball AND hockey, including numerous #1 titles. Competing against a field of 150 of the biggest names in the industry, he ranked as the #1 NFL handicapper in the existence of that sports monitor, in their All-Time rankings. No competing handicapping service ever came close to matching his NFL record. In fact, Ben also ranked as the #1 combined NFL/NCAA football handicapper. 10 Straight Super Bowl Winners A big part of the reason for Ben's #1 NFL titles was his annual success in the playoffs. He fared particularly well with his Super Bowl selections. In fact, from 1999-2007, he released 10 Super Bowl picks (3 Sides, 7 totals) and went a perfect 10-0. (All selections independently documented.) In the middle of that 10-0 streak, in the 2002-2003 season, Ben won with both the Bucs and the "over" the year that they beat the Raiders. That win was particularly sweet as he predicted that Tampa would win the Super Bowl in a number of national magazines, prior to the season even starting. Fantasy Legend Ben got pretty seriously into the DFS world in 2014 and 2015. Recently, he was featured as "The High Roller" in the 2015 documentary, "Living the Fantasy." A regular fixture at Fan Duel and Draft Kings live championship events, Burns has taken down 6-figure scores in football, basketball AND baseball. While many of the other prominent DFS players come from a poker background, two decades as a sports handicapper provide a unique perspective. Biggest Win of 2016 The year has just begun but Ben has already enjoyed some notable wins. His "Bowl Game of the Year," which happened to be a total (WVU/ASU "over") saw the teams combine for 85 points and 1196 total yards, all of them in regulation. Closing out the campaign with wins on Clemson AND the "over" in the championship game was also rewarding. Systems Used For Handicapping Bruce Lee noted: "Man, the living creature, the creating individual, is always more important than any established style of system." Lee was known to talk about being shapeless, formless (like water) and ready to adapt to any situation. Likewise, Burns doesn't rely on any one particular methodology. Rather, he combines fundamental, technical and situational techniques, making use of any and all data, which he deems relevant to the situation. Ben does tend to pay particular attention to the 'situational' side of things. Among numerous other factors, this includes trying to determine when (and why) a team will be extra motivated ("pumped up") to play its best and also when a team may be ripe for a "letdown." Burns has a contrarian nature and this trait is often revealed in his selections. Betting Philosophy Ever adapting, Burns is just as likely to take points as he is to lay them. Over the years, he's played more "unders" than "overs" but that doesn't mean that he won't pull the trigger on an "over" when the time is right to do so. While many handicappers shy away from playing MLB/NHL favorites on the money-line, Ben has proven that one can be highly successful by doing so. For him, it’s all about value. If he can get a team at -130 that he likes and that believes should be -160, than that's a play.
Rating and Titles of Plays Ben uses a scale of 5-10 to show his level of confidence with each play. Plays may include "titles" in order to give users a better idea of what to expect. Some of those titles include: Personal Favorite - Strongest favorite (or pick'em game) in that sport for the day. Best Bet - Strongest underdog (or pick'em game) in that sport for the day, occasionally can be a total. Blue Chip Total - Strongest rated total in that sport/category for the day. Main Event - Big play which is featured on national television. Game Of The Week/Month/Year - Top rated side or total for that particular week/month/year. |
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