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Bryan Leonard Bryan Leonard
After passing on the Tuesday NHL card, we put our 24-11 hockey run to the test on Wednesday. We've isolated a situation when we receive extreme betting value on one club on the card. Don't miss it!
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23-18 run in NBA dating back to 01/30/20.

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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Apr 21, 2021
Braves vs Yankees
Braves
+121 at pinnacle
Won
$121
Play Type: Top Premium

975 Atlanta at NY Yankees

Listed Anderson & Kluber

We’ve faded Corey Kluber before and we have seen no reason to stop. Going back to the year 2015 his highest barrel percentage allowed was 8.9 in 2019. It’s currently 15.6%. His highest exit velocity was 87.9, it’s now 90.7, and he’s only had 32 batted balls against him. He’s been very lucky as the 2021 launch angle is only 6.6 degrees, it’s normally twice that since 2015. 

Ian Anderson is clearly the better starter at this point in their careers. 

In hard hit percentage the Yankees rank 28th and the Braves 13th. Looking at wRC+ we find the Yankees ranking 26th and Atlanta 9th. Better hitting, stronger starting pitching, and an underdog. Count us in.

PLAY ATLANTA

Matchup Selection W/L
NHL  |  Apr 21, 2021
Predators vs Blackhawks
Blackhawks
+104 at pinnacle
Won
$104
Play Type: Premium

2 Nashville at Chicago

In 5x5 play in G+-/60 Nashville ranks 15th and Chicago 21st. In xG/60 we find the Predators -0.05 and the Blackhawks -0.37.

On the Power Play in G+-/60 Nashville ranks 20th and Chicago 13th. In xG/60 we find the Preds +5.00 and the Blackhawks +5.15.

Playing Short Handed the Predators rank 28th and Chicago 27th in G+-/60. In xG/60 we find Nashville -6.08 and Chicago -5.81. 

So the stats show these two to be completely equal on the season. Nashville is 11-12-1 on the road, Chicago is 11-8-2 at home. The Preds are playing in its fourth  different city in the past five games. Coming off a 5-2 home win over Chicago on Monday. Nashville has beaten Chicago all six meetings this season. So now we get the Blackhawks at home as an underdog. The numbers show these two to be even, and yet Nashville has come out on top every meeting. We don’t buy the dominance, give us the Blackhawks as a small home dog.

PLAY CHICAGO

SERVICE BIO

Owner of Bryan Leonard Sports for the last 35 years. Multiple award winning documented service in all sports. Participant in the Stardust Invitational, finalist in the Leroy's Money Talks contest, The Golden Nugget Football Contest, and the Sunset Station Invitational here in Las Vegas.