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Alex Smart |
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Alex Smart Sports- NFL/CFB/CBB/NBA action now on board. Get the info the books do not want you to have. |
YESTERDAY'S PLAYS | ||
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NBA | Jan 14, 2021 Rockets vs Spurs |
Rockets +7½ -110 at all |
Won $100 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
One day after a big time trade, the Houston Rockets will travel west to face the San Antonio Spurs on Thursday for the first of a pair of games between the two teams. Im betting the energy from this trade will reverberate and have the Rockets ready to perform. NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (SAN ANTONIO) - tired team - playing 6 or more games in 10 days, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing teams are 15-43 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Houston to cover |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NHL | Jan 14, 2021 Islanders vs Rangers |
Islanders -105 at Mirage |
Won $100 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
The Islanders will ice a veteran team this season, and that plays well within HC Barry Trotz defense first system. Every player knows his role and this team must be respected here on a short line. Meanwhile, cross town rivals the Rangers will ice a younger team than expected and are being over rated by the media and pundits according to my projections. Im betting on experience and top tier defensive action from the physical Isles to get the job done here tonight. |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NBA | Jan 14, 2021 Warriors vs Nuggets |
UNDER 230 -110 |
Won $100 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
Golden State games have been according to my projections seeing added digits to the totals from the linesmakers , which is showing value to the under. Thanks to those faulty numbers offered by the books we have seen 4 straight Warriors games go under the total. Warriors speedy pace, has influenced the linesmkaers, as has the presence of their super star Curry. However, their off, because of a variation of reasons, and continue to hold value for under bettors. |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NBA | Jan 14, 2021 Hornets vs Raptors |
Hornets +8 -104 at pinnacle |
Won $100 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
These two sides are currently playing at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum with Charlotte having won 4 of their L/5 while homeless Toronto have lost 5 of their L/6. With that said, we have a line that does not make complete sense when taking into consideration current form, but instead seems to pander to group of bettors that still perceive the Raptors as a top tier group that is able to compete for a Eastern Conference title. I know that Charlotte played last night, but they are well conditioned according-to my charts and matchup well vs the Raptors. I do take rest into consideration but still make the Raptors just 5 point favs. With a full possession variance in my number as compared to the line offered Im betting we have value with the up trending underdog. Hornets are 16-4-1 ATS in their last 21 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Hornets are 22-6-1 ATS in their last 29 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Hornets are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games as an underdog.Hornets are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games as a road underdog. Hornets are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NCAA-B | Jan 14, 2021 Tennessee State vs Jacksonville State |
Tennessee State +7 -110 at Mirage |
Won $100 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NCAA-B | Jan 14, 2021 Washington vs USC |
Washington +14½ -110 at linepros |
Lost $110.0 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NCAA-B | Jan 14, 2021 Morehead State vs Eastern Illinois |
Eastern Illinois -6 -105 at BetCris |
Lost $105.0 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NCAA-B | Jan 14, 2021 #Murray State vs #SE Missouri State |
#Murray State -7 -110 at BetCris |
P |
Play Type: Premium | ||
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NCAA-B | Jan 14, 2021 Stanford vs Utah |
Utah +1½ -109 at pinnacle |
Won $100 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NCAA-B | Jan 14, 2021 Arizona vs Oregon State |
Oregon State +8 -110 at all |
Lost $110.0 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NCAA-B | Jan 14, 2021 California vs Colorado |
Colorado -15 -105 at linepros |
Won $100 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NCAA-B | Jan 14, 2021 Pepperdine vs Gonzaga |
Pepperdine +25½ -105 at all |
Won $100 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. Play Pepperdine |
PICKS IN PROGRESS | ||
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NCAA-B | Jan 15, 2021 Oral Roberts vs Denver |
Denver +11 -105 at all |
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Play Type: Premium | ||
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
SERVICE BIO |
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Experience & Awards I have been wagering professionally on sports and horse racing for 30 years. My picks have been documented for 20 years. I have earned numerous top 10 Basketball and Football finishes. My college football picks have profited in 16 of my last 18 seasons. In 2011 I went 68% for the year. I was the 2009 NFL Handicapper of the Year in 2009 in a prestigious event. I won the Ultimate Football NFL Championship in 2006. In 2014 I overcame a slow start to finish 59-32 65%! I have been an NBA World Champion with 7 winning seasons the last 8 years. I also continue to beat the College Hoops book makers with a high volume attack on a yearly basis. Handicapping Approach I have a firm belief in my systems. There is not a sport I feel I can not beat. My handicapping can be best referred to as the 'The Smart Money Approach". I leave no stone unturned. I have a large database of information and statistics. I also take into consideration injuries, current and historical trends, and form. I also factor in the weather, surface conditions, and line movement. Sports Betting Is An Investment Many gamblers offer causal explanations for long runs of good and bad performance. The same is true of financial analysts. The records of bettors and investors show the same variable successes and failures. Both investment opportunities show significant variables and both can give the investor an advantage. You need to do the proper research to consider all the facts. If you do so a long term profit is more than attainable. I think sports betting is even better than the stock market. The investor/bettor has much more control over his funds. You can take a short break, and almost always know your bankroll has not been untouched. In the markets you are leaving your 401K and other mutual investments in the hands of a volatile marketplace. Plus, you are being torched for huge handling fees by brokers on individual investments. These fees would make sports book managers drool. I am not saying it is easy making a living from sports betting. But, the small percent who do consistently beat the books have a much better rate of return than that of any market investor! This is the outlook I have on every wager I place in the sports wagering markets. I take my portfolio very seriously! Money Management To be a successful and profitable sports bettor you must always have a long term goal. Set that standard before you begin. You need to set aside a fairly substantial bankroll. If you want to be conservative you would wager no more than 1-2% of your bankroll per game. No more than 3% on the best bets. This might seem a little on the low side. But, this is a long and turbulent battle with the books. You will be happy that you practiced good money management and frugality. Here are some additional guidelines I recommend. 1. Shop for your best possible lines (rogue lines) from the most reputable sources. 2. Stay disciplined and do not stray from recommended bankroll allocation on individual wagers. Chasing your wagers never a good idea. 3. Always keep in mind that your bankroll is your life line. It must be treated the same way you would treat finances allocated for any business venture. 4. Buy off the hook on key numbers. 5. Understanding the importance and the art of middling. 6. Keep a record of all your wagers and results and use them as part of over all statistical data base. These are some important factors that will help you in your quest for long term profits. I leave you with a thought from the late great Jimmy the Greek. The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself. *Almost all selections have the same allocated bankroll %(which equals 1 betting unit). Strong selections will see our single game wagers doubled. These plays are rated as GENERALS CLUB selections. |