8* Sacramento (10:05 ET): Here we go again, fading the T’wolves off a win. It’s been about the surest bet in the NBA this season. Since starting 2-0, Minnesota has not won back to back games at any point. They are 0-14 SU off a win since that 2-0 start, going 2-11-1 ATS as well. They are being outscored by about 15 PPG in this situation. The last time they were off a win was Sunday and I faded them in Los Angeles (against the Clippers) in what turned out to be a 124-105 loss. They won last night here in Sacramento, 134-120 as 3.5-point underdogs, so there’s only one way to play this matchup from where I sit.

Given all the information listed above, it would be quite embarrassing for the Kings at home B2B days and for a third time this month to the T’wolves. Certainly, little has gone right for Sacramento over the last month as they’ve lost 10 of 11 to play themselves right out of the playoff race. But I can’t see Minnesota shooting 56.7% from the field again (like they did last night). The Kings actually led going into the fourth quarter, which is when everything began to fall apart. They scored just 17 points over the final 12 minutes and were on the wrong end of a 17-3 run down the stretch. 

When the T’wolves are off a SU win as a dog, they are 0-12 SU the next game and 2-10 ATS. In the second night of a back to back, they are getting outscored by 9.2 PPG this season. They entered yday tied with Houston for the worst SU record in the league. The Kings are surely better than how they’ve played of late and will be desperate to win at home for the first time this month. Given the situation at hand, I’ll make the RARE move to lay points with them. 8* Sacramento

10* Under Warriors/Wizards (7:05 ET): The two top scorers in the NBA will be on the same floor tonight as Steph Curry and the Warriors take on Bradley Beal and the Wizards. Curry has been absolutely on fire of late and was the talk of social media Monday night with a 49-point effort against the Sixers. He made 10 three-pointers as it was his 11th straight game with 30+ points and he’s averaged 43.8 PPG on the team’s current road trip. But still, as a team Golden State finished with only 107 points Monday night. You have to figure Curry won’t be going off like THAT again here, even if the Wizards are far from the league’s finest defensive outfit.

Washington comes into tonight on a five-game win streak (also 7-1 L8) as they too are trying to qualify for the postseason. They are in the midst of a “friendly” stretch of home games that has seen them recently defeat New Orleans, Detroit and Oklahoma City. The Wizards’ last four games have all stayed Under as their defense has improved at the right time. They’ve held those last four opponents to 115 pts or less, which may not sound all that impressive, but it is for this team. 

This total is really high. It’s almost identical to the O/U line from the last meeting, which was earlier this month, and saw Washington win 110-107 as a 4.5-point underdog. Curry hadn’t really “caught fire” yet, but still went for 32. The Wizards had four players score at least 19 in that win. I just don’t see the kind of scoring the oddsmakers are expecting to take place here. Only two of Golden State’s last 13 games would have gone Over this number while only three of the Wizards’ last 12 would have done the same. 10* Under Warriors/Wizards

8* Miami (1:10 ET): This series got underway yesterday with Baltimore winning 7-5. For the Orioles, that was a little bit of payback for last season when they were swept by Miami, losing all four times they played. They won yday despite three errors and getting outhit. They came into the game with an 8-26 all-time record vs the Marlins, their worst win percentage against any team in either league. Obviously, it wouldn’t be a surprise to see the home team bounce back here and I think they will. 

Trevor Rogers will toe the rubber here for Miami. Through three starts, he’s averaging an impressive 13.8 strikeouts per nine innings. That’s fourth best in the National League. A former 1st round draft choice (2017), Rogers has allowed 2 ER or less in all three of his starts thus far. His best outing came on April 10th when he threw six shutout innings of three-hit ball against the Mets and finished with 10 strikeouts. He won’t have to face Anthony Santander today as the Orioles’ RF exited last night’s game with an injury. 

The Marlins are still without Starling Marte, who is perhaps their best all-around player, however I still think their lineup can get to O’s starter Bruce Zimmerman. Save for a shutout loss Sunday, the Marlins have scored at four runs in seven of the last eight games and they’ve scored six or more four times. A big key here is that the Fish are averaging 7.5 runs this season in games where they face a left-handed starter. I don’t think it’ll take many runs to win this one as Baltimore has been held to three runs or fewer eight times already. 8* Miami

9* Tottenham Hotspur (1:00 ET): With all the drama surrounding Tottenham right now, they better come up with the full three points on Wednesday. On top of their recent middling form, the Spurs sacked manager Jose Mourinho and are a part of the big controversy over in Europe right now, that being the mass exodus to the proposed European Super League. But I’m not ready to give up on this side being able to finish in the top four in what could be their final season in the Premier League. Look for them to get the old “new manager bounce” when they play host to Southampton in this one.

With so much controversy currently circling around Tottenham Hotspur, it would be easy to forget that Southampton was just eliminated from the FA Cup with a 1-0 semifinal loss to Leicester City over the weekend. That about does it for the Saints’ motivation this season. They’ve lost 11 of their last 14 Premier League fixtures and are virtually guaranteed a bottom half finish in the table this season. They’re not really in danger of relegation though (nine points clear), so again it’s difficult to find where the motivation comes from this final month of the campaign. No team has fewer points since the turn of the year than Southampton’s 10.

Not saying it will be easy here Tottenham Hotspur in their first match under interim boss Ryan Mason. The club is winless in its last three EPL fixtures and won’t have top goal scorer Harry Kane. Six days from now the Spurs will seek to end their trophy drought in the EFL Cup Final. But if the players have any sense of pride, they’ll rise up here and get the win at home as they attempt to draw nearer to fourth place West Ham, who is currently up five points. They defeated Southampton 5-2 in the reverse fixture back in September. 9* Tottenham Hotspur

7* Borussia Dortmund (2:30 ET): To some, the price may seem surprisingly high on Borussia Dortmund. After all, Union Berlin isn’t too far behind (just six points back) as they have their own hopes of playing European football next season. But Dortmund, whose form certainly slipped about a month ago, is seemingly in the midst of a resurgence with B2B Bundesliga wins. After recently being eliminated from this year’s Champions League, BVB can qualify again with a strong finish. They enter the day five points behind fourth place Wolfsburg and desperately need three points to keep pace. 

Union Berlin, now tied for seventh, ended a three-match winless run with a 2-0 win against Stuttgart over the weekend. They have never even qualified for the Europa League, so a fifth place finish would be considered a monumental achievement for the club. Keep in mind that FCUB had never even competed at the top level of German football prior to last season. So to even be in seventh, just one year after being promoted, is an achievement of its own. They’ve only lost six times this entire Bundesliga campaign! 

The reverse fixture, back in January, saw FCUB emerge victorious by a score of 2-1. But since that time, they have just one win over a team currently in the top seven and that was 1-0 over Leverkusen. Those two are the ONLY wins they have against top seven sides all season. Pulling off a “Dortmund double” seems far-fetched from where I sit, especially with BVB coming off a very impressive 4-1 win over Werder Bremen. Erling Haaland is the best player on the pitch almost every time he steps on it. 7* Borussia Dortmund

8* Sevilla FC (1:00 ET): With Champions League qualification all but wrapped up, Sevilla can now turn its eye to an even bigger prize. The hottest side in all of La Liga is just six points out of first place and three behind second entering Wednesday’s clash with Levante. Unbeaten in their last seven across all competitions, a sixth win in their last seven would match table leaders Atletico Madrid for the most wins in all of La Liga this season. It could also potentially draw Las Palanganas level with Real Madrid for second by day’s end.

Last time out, Sevilla came from behind to defeat 5th place Real Sociedad 2-1. After conceding in the opening five minutes, they tied the game and took the lead within a three minute span. It was the second straight come from behind victory as they defeated Celta Vigo 4-3 two weeks ago. But what’s impressive here is that three of their past five victories have come against sides in the top seven of the La Liga table. 

Though still in the top half of the table themselves, Levante has been really inconsistent down the stretch. They’ve dropped four of six and last week’s 5-1 loss to Villarreal was the worst result of the bunch. Goal scoring has been an issue with only three total in those six matches. One would have to go all the way back to late February, a span of nine matches, to find the last time Levante scored more than one goal. The reverse fixture against Sevilla back in October was a 1-0 loss. 8* Sevilla FC