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Freddy Wills’s Comments
Freddy is 139-99 +$102,296 L238 THE BETTING ADVISORS picks in September! Also off a losing week he’s done quite well winning 25 out of 41 weeks after a losing week! Freddy just barely had a losing week last week and is off to an 11-7 ATS start +$9,500 and is the #1 handicapper on the sportscapping network!
Freddy Wills’s Pick
Cincinnati +8.5 (BOVADA) 3.3% Play
I expect this line to go back up to 8, at most shops, but I grabbed the 8.5 that currently sits at Bovada where I highly recommend you open an account for underdog plays alone.

I like the Bearcats coming into the season on this game and the fact that Houston upset Oklahoma and is now on the national radar for everyone is truly giving us some line value here. Nippert Stadium is not an easy place to play by any means. They are 7-1 at Nippert since 2007 on Thursday nights, and if you do not think it’s difficult to play here just ask Miami last year. “Some of the coaches from Miami said after the game, ‘We never even counted on that much crowd noise,’ ” Tuberville said. “They play in big stadiums a lot, and they had a tough time with audibling, changing the play and that type of thing. They thought it affected their players.”

Aside from home field advantage and Houston having to travel on a short week. I actually like the match up here. Cincinnati had 589 total yards on the road against Houston last year, and Houston’s secondary still shows the same vulnerabilities. We saw several break downs against Oklahoma. I know they only allowed 23 points, but that was with an entire offseason to prepare. Cinci did lose a lot of WR’s, and they gave the starting QB job to Hayden Moore instead of senior Gunner Kiel, but I like this new offense. Two receivers that Houston has to be worried about is Nate Cole, and Avery Johnson. Johnson is extremely athletic and can come up with some big catches down field. He’s the brother of Patrick Peterson of the Arizona Cardinals.

Cinci’s offense lost their coordinator to Kentucky and I think that’s a good thing. Under Zac Taylor they will move to a more balanced offense of 30+ runs and 30+ passes, and you could see them move with more tempo than a year ago at times. I think that is enough to give Houston’s defense some issues when preparing for this game. This is a new situation for Tom Herman as head coach of Houston going on the road on a short week, and they’ll play in front of 40,000 people at night. Cinci’s defense that gets a lot of bad publicity returns 8 guys, and I think they are good enough to allow Cinci to win this game. They are extremely timely holding opponents last year to just 30% conversions on third down and 37.5% TD% in the red zone at home. Those are some big keys if they want to stay in this game.

One last thing to note is the fact that the Bearcats had horrible luck last year. They were unlucky with the turnovers, and injuries, and they had 3 net close losses. We are already seeing that luck turn around this year and I think they are a dangerous team in this conference. I’m not quite going to call for the upset, but this game should be a good one late in the 4th quarter.

Statistics: Posted by Pick Bot – Thu Sep 15, 2016 7:32 pm – Replies 0 – Views 0

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The post Freddy Wills Released Picks • 3.3% Thursday Night Play – 41-18 ATS Career in Week #3 appeared first on Sports Bet Capping – Where Records Don't Lie.

Freddy Wills Released Picks • 3.3% Thursday Night Play – 41-18 ATS Career in Week #3
Freddy Wills Released Picks • 3.3% Thursday Night Play – 41-18 ATS Career in Week #3

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