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Freddy Wills’s Comments

Freddy Wills’s Pick
Charlotte +8.5 3.3% play

Honestly this seems like way too many points when you consider Charlotte only lost by 3 points last year despite out playing Old Dominion with +54 yards. They actually had the lead 24-12 in that game, and I’m not really sure what happened, but the good news is they return more starters that Old Dominion and 10 more lettermen. They also have a couple of key transfers in Robert Washington at RB to add depth alongside Kalif Phillips who has been great so far. Also the loss against Louisville does not look at bad as it did to open the season.

Charlotte actually averaged 5.5 yards per carry on the road against Temple and really held their own in the game with just -78 yards of total offense. They have to find a way for this to show up in the final score because as of right now that’s not happening, but this is a good spot in a divisional game against comparable competition. Old Dominion also might be without their best player in Ray Lawry at RB who is listed as questionable with an ankle. I bet he gives it a go, but I don’t know how effective he’ll be.

Some other key facts in this one is the fact that Old Dominion is allowing 84% TD’s in the red zone. They are also traveling for the third time in four weeks while Charlotte is at home for the third time in four weeks.

Ole Miss -14.5 3.3% play

I really like the Rebels this week considering how Memphis comes into this game fresh off a 77-3 ass whooping on Bowling Green. This is Memphis first game on the road this year and they are taking a major leap in competition. They arguably have played two worst teams in the country in Kansas and Bowling Green. Bowling Green has a completely new coaching staff and I’m not surprised how they have struggled as none of them have ever called plays before.

Ole Miss, has the revenge factor or at least they have Memphis on their mind. That’s a good thing as Hugh Freeze is aware, and seems like he’s aware of the spread going 45-22-1 ATS in his career. If you don’t know the story. Ole Miss lost at Memphis last year which was one of the things holding them back from getting into a the playoff. Ole Miss TE Evan Engram was heard talking about the Memphis in the 4th quarter of the Georgia game which was not even as close as the 45-14 final indicated. Ole Miss was up 45-0 in the third quarter. DE John Youngblood also stated, “We got embarrassed last year.” So I am confident it’s on the mind of Ole Miss players and they certainly remember the 37-24 loss on the road a year ago.

Memphis is without three of the most important things you could have in a football game. Home field advantage, their star QB Paxton Lynch who threw for 384 yards is in the NFL, and arguably a top 10 coach in Justin Fuente has moved onto Virginia Tech. The big problem for Ole Miss last year was they did not seem prepared. They could not stay on the field 4-15 on third and fourth downs and they could not get Memphis off the field. They already look much improved this year and they have played 3 Top 25 teams in Georgia, Florida State, and Alabama. They could very easily be 4-0, but instead are 2-2. If they are 4-0 I’m guessing this line is 21.5. I think Chad Kelly has gotten better and he’s got ridiculous weapons in Engram and Stringfellow that Memphis can’t cover.

There are also red flags on this Memphis team that is scoring a ton of points right now and playing very good defense. Their offense is converting just 38% on third down. They are 124th in the nation with a 1.11% sack %. They are not getting any pressure which is concerning when you consider the fact that Chad Kelly will light you up if he has time.

Statistics: Posted by Pick Bot – Sat Oct 01, 2016 6:03 pm – Replies 0 – Views 1

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The post Freddy Wills Released Picks • Guarantee 2-0 ATS Package – Featuring SEC CONFERENCE appeared first on Sports Bet Capping – Where Records Don't Lie.

Freddy Wills Released Picks • Guarantee 2-0 ATS Package – Featuring SEC CONFERENCE
Freddy Wills Released Picks • Guarantee 2-0 ATS Package – Featuring SEC CONFERENCE

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