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Freddy Wills’s Comments

Freddy Wills’s Pick
North Carolina +7.5 1.1% Free Play (6-1 ATS on Free Plays This year)

This seems like a value spot for the Tarheels who looked bad last week. The weather had a lot to do with it also I have felt since the Tennessee game that Virginia Tech was under rated. We had the Hokies as our biggest play last weekend and it easily cashed. It was just a bad match up. What I like this week is Mitch Tribusky should bounce back against Miami’s secondary which has yet to be tested.

Miami’s secondary has faced passing offenses ranked 122, 72, 74, 46th which just simply does not impress me. Francois was able to carve up this secondary in the second half and I think Tribusky and his receiving weapons will have a great game here.

With that said this game should feature limited possessions when you factor in Miami is dead last with 59 plays per game and North Carolina is 115th. I do think Miami is a better team overall, but there simply won’t be enough plays to showcase this. Miami also will keep it on the ground in my opinion keeping this game down in scoring. I have the game at 23-28 in favor of Miami, but I factor in the extra points we get for the final last week for North Carolina. Miami off their loss to Florida State has typically struggled.

They lost in devastating fashion on a missed extra point. Despite leading 13-0 int hat game they were actually out gained 408 to 276 yards. Florida State’s defense which was unable to make second half adjustments against a ton of teams was able to do so in the second half a week ago against Miami. There is just too much value here with the points and the dog is 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 meetings.

Statistics: Posted by Pick Bot – Wed Oct 12, 2016 4:50 pm – Replies 0 – Views 0

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The post Freddy Wills Released Picks • Saturday’s Free Play – 6-1 ATS This Year – #Miami vs. #North appeared first on Sports Bet Capping – Where Records Don't Lie.

Freddy Wills Released Picks • Saturday’s Free Play – 6-1 ATS This Year – #Miami vs. #North
Freddy Wills Released Picks • Saturday’s Free Play – 6-1 ATS This Year – #Miami vs. #North

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