This is premium content that clients pay for.   Freddy Wills releases all of his premium content to the general public just minutes after a game starts.  All plays are documented in this way to ensure you of Freddy’s honesty and integrity. 

---

 

Freddy Wills’s Comments

Freddy Wills’s Pick
Marshall/Colorado State Over 58 3.3% play

I originally leaned Marshall out of Conference USA, but Colorado State has faced a far tougher schedule. There was no way I could back Colorado State given their struggles during bowl season and down the stretch of the regular season. The last 3 years in bowl games they went 0-3 SU & ATS missing the spread by 67 points combined. Meanwhile, Marshall is 10-1 SU & ATS, but Colorado State has an extra week to prepare for this game.

That led me to the total, and in bowl games I would tend to lean towards the over. Tackling is sure not going to be at a premium in some of these lower level games. The weather is also setting up to be very nice 50 degrees with less than 10 mph winds.

When looking at these two teams they are both coming off some unders giving u value to the over. We also have two teams very unfamiliar with each other playing in different conferences. I think that benefits the offenses and speaking of offenses Marshall has not faced an offense this good all year long. Colorado State can run the ball ranking 27th in ypc. Marshall only faced 2 teams in the top 50 all year and they scored 30 and 28 points. Colorado State can throw the ball ranking 12th in QB rating. Marshall again only faced 2 teams ranked in the top 30 in passing offense and they gave up 41 and 28 points. Colorado State goes up against the 15th ranked rushing defense which leads me to believe they will put together a game plan with more passing which typically leads to higher scoring games. I could see Colorado State scoring 40+ points with future NFL WR Michael Gallup having a great day. This is an offense that put up 52 points on Boise State a few weeks back and Boise has a very balanced defense.

For Marshall’s offense the key is whether or not they get the running game going. IN games where they have 130+ rushing yards they average 29.4 points per game. In games where they don’t they average 17.75 ppg. Marshall also has special teams capability with Keion Davis who took two kicks back for 6 in 1 game. They will face a Colorado State defense that struggles to stop the run. They gave up 130 yards rushing in 9 of their 12 games and rank 104th in rush defense. To me there are a lot of things pointing to both of these teams getting into the 30’s or more and with a total of 58 I like the over.

Statistics: Posted by Pick Bot – Wed Dec 13, 2017 5:32 pm – Replies 0 – Views 313

---

---

Freddy’s recommended  sports picks are also released on his records table at freddywills.com as pending picks as soon as the game starts.  It’s another way we make sure the integrity of our handicappers is never questioned!  Why invest in Freddy Wills his honesty and integrity can not be questioned and the results don’t lie.

Here are some other key links in case you want to Become an Affilliate or gain access to vegas insider college football information.  We can also recommend top handicappers to follow based on the sports handicapper leaderboard and history of success in sports betting.  You can also pay attention to our free sports picks section of the site to get a feeling on how our handicappers give out their recommendations.

The post Freddy Wills Released Picks • Total Play – New Mexico Bowl appeared first on Sports Bet Capping – Where Records Don't Lie.

Freddy Wills Released Picks • Total Play – New Mexico Bowl
Freddy Wills Released Picks • Total Play – New Mexico Bowl

This entry was posted on Wednesday, December 13th, 2017 at 5:32 pmand is filed under Uncategorized. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.