Alex Smart Alex Smart
Alex Smart Sports- Where winning means everything. Testing long term $82000.00 plus dime player run!
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Matchup Selection W/L
WNBA  |  Jun 19, 2024
Dream vs Lynx
UNDER 162½ -109 Won
Play Type: Premium

My power rating projection system, estimate that the combined score of this contest will fall in the mid 150s range giving close to a 2 possession value wager to the under. WNBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 (ATLANTA) - revenging a same season loss versus opponent against opponent off 3 consecutive wins against division rivals are 60-31 UNDER L/27 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors.

Play under

Matchup Selection W/L
WNBA  |  Jun 19, 2024
Mystics vs Fever
+5 -110 at circa
Play Type: Premium

 Thanks to Catlin Clark and the Fevers current competitive run they are being over rated here. With Washington also playing quality hoops of late, with 4 straight covers  taking points  is a viable wager according to my power ranking numbers. 

INDIANA is 2-10 ATS  as a home favorite of 6 points or less over the last 3 seasons.

WASHINGTON is 8-1 ATS after playing a game as a home underdog over the last 2 seasons.

WNBA Home teams (INDIANA) - after having won 3 of their last 4 games, with a losing record are 8-29 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% go against conversion rate. 

Play on Mystics to cover

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Jun 19, 2024
Diamondbacks vs Nationals
-152 at YouWager
Play Type: Premium

Arizona beat the Nats 5-0 yesterday and Im betting they have the edge again. Washington starter CORBIN is 14-41  against the money line as a home underdog of +100 or higher since 1997. (Team's Record) Meanwhile, Arizonas starter Pfaadt gave up only one run in his last start .

 The Washington  offense is ranked 23rd and according to my projections will have problems with Dbacks pitchers (Pfaadt)  and company.

The Diamondbacks have won each of their last six games at Nationals Park when the Nats have had a ,losing record. The Nationals have lost each of their last four games against NL West opponents

ARIZONA is 15-5 against the money line in road games in June games over the last 2 seasons.

Play on Arizona to win 

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Jun 19, 2024
Mariners vs Guardians
-129 at circa
Play Type: Premium

Seattle has won 4 straight and 8 of its L/9, while their opponents the Guardians have lost 3 straight. With that said, all good and bad runs must eventually come to an end and thats what Im betting on here today by backing Cleveland to win at home.CLEVELAND is 12-1  against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons. I know the Mariners young hurler Woo has pitched well this season, when he has ben healthy, but hes got some nagging injuries that could see him struggle today and or not go far into this game as he will be on a limited pitch count.. Woo  was scratched from his last scheduled start due to discomfort in his right forearm. He also missed the first month of the season due to elbow inflammation.

CLEVELAND is 11-2  against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start this season like Woo and  is 16-7  against the money line vs. a team with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season.

Meanwhile, Guardians right-hand hurler  Tanner Bibee (4-2, 3.94 ERA). BIBEE is 16-6 against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Cleveland to win


Experience & Awards

I have been wagering professionally on sports and horse racing for 30 years. 

My picks have been documented for 22 years.

I was the 2009 NFL Handicapper of the Year in 2009  in a prestigious event.  I won the Ultimate Football NFL Championship in 2006.    

I have been an NBA World Champion with 9 winning seasons the last 11 years.  

I also continue to beat the College Hoops book makers with a high volume attack on a yearly basis. 

Handicapping Approach

I have a firm belief in my systems.  There is not a sport I feel I can not beat.  

My handicapping can be best referred to as the 'The Smart Money Approach". I leave no stone unturned.  I have a large database of information and statistics.  I also take into consideration injuries, current and historical trends, and form.  I also factor in the weather, surface conditions, and line movement.

Sports Betting Is An Investment

Many gamblers offer causal explanations for long runs of good and bad performance.  The same is true of financial analysts.  The records of bettors and investors show the same variable successes and failures. 

Both investment opportunities show significant variables and both can give the investor an advantage.  You need to do the proper research to consider all the facts. If you do so a long term profit is more than attainable.

I think sports betting is even better than the stock market.  The investor/bettor has much more control over his funds. You can take a short break, and almost always know your bankroll has not been untouched.

In the markets you are leaving your 401K and other mutual investments in the hands of a volatile marketplace. Plus, you are being torched for huge handling fees by brokers on individual investments. These fees would make sports book managers drool.

I am not saying it is easy making a living from sports betting. But, the small percent who do consistently beat the books have a much better rate of return than that of any market investor!

This is the outlook I have on every wager I place in the sports wagering markets. I take my portfolio very seriously!

Money Management

To be a successful and profitable sports bettor you must always have a long term goal. Set that standard before you begin.  You need to set aside a fairly substantial bankroll.

If you want to be conservative you would wager no more than 1-2% of your bankroll per game.  No more than 3% on the best bets.

This might seem a little on the low side.  But, this is a long and turbulent battle with the books.  You will be happy that you practiced good money management and frugality.

Here are some additional guidelines I recommend.

1. Shop for your best possible lines (rogue lines) from the most reputable sources.

2. Stay disciplined and do not stray from recommended bankroll allocation on individual wagers. Chasing your wagers never a good idea.

3. Always keep in mind that your bankroll is your life line.  It must be treated the same way you would treat finances allocated for any business venture.

4. Buy off the hook on key numbers.

5. Understanding the importance and the art of middling.

6. Keep a record of all your wagers and results and use them as part of over all statistical data base.

These are some important factors that will help you in your quest for long term profits.

I leave you with a thought from the late great Jimmy the Greek. The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself.

*All selections have the same allocated bankroll %(which equals 1 betting unit).